Sea Ice Outlook: August Report

August 27, 2014
By Sara Bowden

The Sea Ice Outlook 2014 August report includes 23 pan-Arctic contributions and four regional outlooks. The August report has a median Outlook value for September 2014 sea ice extent of 5.0 million square kilometers with quartiles of 4.58 and 5.22 million square kilometers. This median value is slightly higher than the June and July values of 4.7 and 4.8, respectively. This increase reflects the relatively slower decline in ice extent through August than what had been projected earlier. The overall range has narrowed since July, suggesting that the projections are tending to converge, as one would expect with a shorter forecast period.

This month's full report includes comments on modeling outlooks and on regional predictions, a summary of current conditions, key statements from each Outlook, and links to view or download the full outlook contributions.

The August Sea Ice Outlook (SIO) report is now available at:

The SIO is an activity of the Sea Ice Prediction Network project (SIPN: as a contribution to the Study of Environmental Arctic Change (SEARCH:

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